
{"id":19333,"date":"2020-04-23T09:23:06","date_gmt":"2020-04-23T08:23:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/russian-aftermarket-specifics-can-expect-recovery\/"},"modified":"2020-04-23T09:41:06","modified_gmt":"2020-04-23T08:41:06","slug":"russian-aftermarket-specifics-can-expect-recovery","status":"publish","type":"te_announcements","link":"https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/ko\/announcement\/russian-aftermarket-specifics-can-expect-recovery\/","title":{"rendered":"Russian aftermarket specifics. Can we expect a recovery?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Nous sommes tous en mode crise, mais quand cela frappe (comme en ce moment), les professionnels sont pr\u00eats \u00e0 prendre les d\u00e9cisions sur la base d&#8217;une analyse solide. <\/span><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">GiPA a agi rapidement pour mesurer les cons\u00e9quences imm\u00e9diates et a r\u00e9alis\u00e9 une \u00e9tude sur l&#8217;impact du COVID-19 sur le march\u00e9 secondaire russe, en suivant le taux d&#8217;activit\u00e9 des ateliers toutes les deux semaines.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Donc, si vous voulez en savoir plus \u00e0 ce sujet, veuillez continuer \u00e0 lire.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Un aper\u00e7u de la crise<\/span><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Bien s\u00fbr, il est \u00e9vident que les limitations et restrictions du COVID-19 perturberont globalement l&#8217;activit\u00e9, et de nombreux professionnels souffrent d\u00e9j\u00e0 en raison de:<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">L&#8217;auto-solation des clients potentiels.<\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">La n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 de r\u00e9duire les d\u00e9penses.<\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">La r\u00e9duction du personnel.<\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>This, ultimately, lead to the review of the plans and, of course, of the overall strategies.<\/p>\n<p>So, observing in detail the Russian aftermarket, we can see:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>A 44% post-factum inactivity of the market due to the restrictions.<\/li>\n<li>A loss of around 3 out of 4 robles at the beginning of March, during only 1 week.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Leaving us with a strong hope: that the disease will not spread faster, and an almost unique activity: to keep on tracking the key market activity indicators.<\/p>\n<p>For any further information,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/contact-us\/russia\/\">please click here to contact GiPA<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2>But there are also positive signs?<\/h2>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>Here we would also like to observe if there are any positive signs for recovery in the aftersales market, so we can track them professionally to analyze the consequences of the crisis.<\/p>\n<p>Firstly, we have to remember that the market volume depends on the car parc and the number and types of operations performed, leaving us the number of cars on the road as the first key indicator to understand the next period\u2019s aftersales volumes.<\/p>\n<p>Talking specifically of the Russian aftermarket, we will also need to know and understand the following facts:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The new cars\u00b4 volume sold for the 3-year\u2019s rolling cycle at the result of 2019-2016 is just slightly less than 5 mln vehicles, which is quite close to the first recovery years of 2016-2014 period.<\/li>\n<li>Car sales in March 2020 were over 30% higher compared to March 2019 due to the inflation expectations.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-19279\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-2-300x168.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"168\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-2-300x168.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-2-1024x574.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-2-277x155.jpg 277w, https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-2.jpg 1121w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2>Which lead us to think that:<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>The car parc in Russia will be stable for the next 3-year period (considering that the declared isolation period will last for around 2 months in a row).<\/li>\n<li>The new car sales will not definitely grow but it will be compensated by the reduction of the accidents rate.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Only 1 out of 3 drivers are still using the car as usual according to the latest COVID survey results.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-3.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-19291\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-3-300x173.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"173\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-3-300x173.png 300w, https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-3-268x155.png 268w, https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-3.png 980w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h1><\/h1>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2>And the aging of the car parc?<\/h2>\n<p>Secondly, we also need to understand and keep track of the cars\u00b4 age. Will it become less after the end of the crisis? Well, to know this, let\u00b4s check the following Russian aftermarket data:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>In the last years, the income growth has been lower than the inflation rate; in 2018 and 2019 the difference was more than 1% in favor of the inflation, not helping to spend more on car operations.<\/li>\n<li>The parc is aging faster than many other European countries, because the focus is being switched to the cars with the average age over 9 years closer to 10.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Everything points that this ageing will be even more drastic as many drivers will feel less safe and protected than before. They will consume less and will have to pay their accumulated debts at the period of COVID isolation.<\/p>\n<h1><\/h1>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2>And the positive signs?<\/h2>\n<p>We can also find the indicators that bring positive signs for the potential of recovery for the local market.<\/p>\n<p>So, in terms of the new car sales and the market capacity, of course, it is worth mentioning that:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The number of the new driving licenses in Russia is growing. In 2019, young millennials were motivated to begin driving, which helped increase the number of licensed drivers.<\/li>\n<li>Russians prefer to travel by car. Even the modern and well-developed mobility ways are not pushing the Russian drivers from the intention of choosing their own cars or using corporate ones versus the public transportation, including the railways.<\/li>\n<li>COVID-19 threat only added to the feeling of personal safety and reliability of the personal car. Actually, the vast majority of the respondents (the figure exceeds 95%) refuse to use any other means of transportation, and this habit will most likely remain during the post-isolation period, helping the aftersales market to recover by consuming more mileage in the future.<\/li>\n<li>We are seeing an extremely fast reaction speed and optimistic expectations from the professionals. Our recent research demonstrates that currently, the vast majority of the dealers and the independent garages have a clear intention to open as soon as possible. 90% of parts and accessories stores are ready to open doors to the customers immediately as well.<\/li>\n<li>Taking into account the share of do-it-yourself and buy-and-fit operations that is over 30% for a long period of time, we locally used to buy the parts at the stores, both online and offline, and the crisis period will make this position even stronger, forming the new habits of the drivers.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>So, the share of the operations done by own means and the share of independent chains in sales will demonstrate the next key indicator of driver\u2019s aftersales behavior and the market capacity as well.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-4.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-19303\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-4-300x114.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"114\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-4-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-4-407x155.png 407w, https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-4.png 998w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Pour plus d&#8217;informations,\u00a0 <\/span><\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/contact-us\/russia\/\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">veuillez cliquer ici pour contacter GiPA<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<h1><\/h1>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Conclusion de la reprise du march\u00e9 secondaire russe<\/span><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">C&#8217;est un devoir &#8211; \u00e9tant donn\u00e9 les donn\u00e9es cl\u00e9s mentionn\u00e9es ci-dessus &#8211; que nous continuions de suivre la situation sur le march\u00e9 automobile de mani\u00e8re pr\u00e9cise et de continuer \u00e0 nous mettre \u00e0 jour r\u00e9guli\u00e8rement.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Nos clients recevront le rapport \u00e9tendu et l&#8217;analyse de notre c\u00f4t\u00e9 du monde, ce qui nous permettra de r\u00e9fl\u00e9chir aux tendances et aux attentes des r\u00e9sultats 2020.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Pour terminer, nous vous laissons un autre fait positif: la majorit\u00e9 des personnes interrog\u00e9es au cours de la derni\u00e8re semaine, ne sont pas certaines du temps de maintenance mais sont pr\u00eates \u00e0 prendre rendez-vous d\u00e8s la fin de la p\u00e9riode d&#8217;isolement.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Excellente nouvelle, nous n&#8217;avons donc qu&#8217;\u00e0 attendre! <\/span><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Soyez bien et restez en s\u00e9curit\u00e9!<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-5.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-19315\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-5-300x162.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"162\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-5-300x162.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-5-287x155.jpg 287w, https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-5.jpg 1000w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Pour plus d&#8217;informations,\u00a0 <\/span><\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/contact-us\/russia\/\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">veuillez cliquer ici pour contacter GiPA<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"parent":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","class_list":["post-19333","te_announcements","type-te_announcements","status-publish","hentry","timeline_express_categories-947","timeline_express_categories-news","timeline-russia-ko"],"announcement_date":"Announcement Date: 2020\ub144 04\uc6d4 23\uc77c","announcement_image":{"iframe":false,"url":"https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-1.png"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Russian aftermarket specifics. Can we expect a recovery? - GiPA<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/announcement\/russian-aftermarket-specifics-can-expect-recovery\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ko_KR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Russian aftermarket specifics. Can we expect a recovery? - GiPA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Nous sommes tous en mode crise, mais quand cela frappe (comme en ce moment), les professionnels sont pr\u00eats \u00e0 prendre les d\u00e9cisions sur la base d&#8217;une analyse solide. GiPA a agi rapidement pour mesurer les cons\u00e9quences imm\u00e9diates et a r\u00e9alis\u00e9 une \u00e9tude sur l&#8217;impact du COVID-19 sur le march\u00e9 secondaire russe, en suivant le taux d&#8217;activit\u00e9 des ateliers toutes les deux semaines. Donc, si vous voulez en savoir plus \u00e0 ce sujet, veuillez continuer \u00e0 lire. &nbsp; Un aper\u00e7u de la crise Bien s\u00fbr, il est \u00e9vident que les limitations et restrictions du COVID-19 perturberont globalement l&#8217;activit\u00e9, et de nombreux professionnels souffrent d\u00e9j\u00e0 en raison de: L&#8217;auto-solation des clients potentiels. La n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 de r\u00e9duire les d\u00e9penses. La r\u00e9duction du personnel. This, ultimately, lead to the review of the plans and, of course, of the overall strategies. So, observing in detail the Russian aftermarket, we can see: A 44% post-factum inactivity of the market due to the restrictions. A loss of around 3 out of 4 robles at the beginning of March, during only 1 week. Leaving us with a strong hope: that the disease will not spread faster, and an almost unique activity: to keep on tracking the key market...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/announcement\/russian-aftermarket-specifics-can-expect-recovery\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"GiPA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-04-23T08:41:06+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.gipa.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-2-300x168.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\uc608\uc0c1 \ub418\ub294 \ud310\ub3c5 \uc2dc\uac04\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"5\ubd84\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.gipa.eu\\\/announcement\\\/russian-aftermarket-specifics-can-expect-recovery\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.gipa.eu\\\/announcement\\\/russian-aftermarket-specifics-can-expect-recovery\\\/\",\"name\":\"Russian aftermarket specifics. 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Donc, si vous voulez en savoir plus \u00e0 ce sujet, veuillez continuer \u00e0 lire. &nbsp; Un aper\u00e7u de la crise Bien s\u00fbr, il est \u00e9vident que les limitations et restrictions du COVID-19 perturberont globalement l&#8217;activit\u00e9, et de nombreux professionnels souffrent d\u00e9j\u00e0 en raison de: L&#8217;auto-solation des clients potentiels. La n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 de r\u00e9duire les d\u00e9penses. La r\u00e9duction du personnel. This, ultimately, lead to the review of the plans and, of course, of the overall strategies. So, observing in detail the Russian aftermarket, we can see: A 44% post-factum inactivity of the market due to the restrictions. A loss of around 3 out of 4 robles at the beginning of March, during only 1 week. 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